Related Reading: Should History Repeat, Bitcoin Price Will Drop 40% to Bottom at $4,300
Bitcoin Could Drop 20%, Analysts Warn
Top cryptocurrency analysis account BitcoinEconomics.io that they believe BTC “going down to $5500 in Q1 2020 seems a likely scenario,” adding that there is likely going to be another accumulation and shakeout phase before a slower uptrend.BTC going down to $5500 in Q1 2020 seems a likely scenario. It may even touch $8k before that. More shakeout and accumulation before a sustained and slower upward trend is likely. A few people predicted such a second smaller "bear market" in the first half of 2019. — BitcoinEcon (@BitcoinEcon)
According to a a professional cryptocurrency trader, Bitcoin is not yet near a macro bottom in his eyes. He remarked that the cryptocurrency is likely to see a 20% drawdown from the current level of $7,200 to $5,500, for there is where the 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement of the rally from $3,100 to $14,000 lies.
//twitter.com/JacobCanfield/status/44616449Canfield’s analysis that a move to $5,500 could be had corroborates a similar thought from trader CryptoBirb, who noted that Bitcoin still is likely to see one final dump to $5,400-$5,600, which he also pointed out coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci.
ReBirb added that this drawdown would validate a trend seen in previous market cycles, which saw BTC see a short-term bearish though macro bullish throwback to key support prior to a resumption of a parabolic uptrend.
Related Reading: Research Group: Bitcoin’s Halving Unlikely to Catalyze Bull Run, But Here’s What Might
But Isn’t the Bottom In?
While some fear that more downside is likely, there are technical and fundamental factors suggesting that the ultimate bottom of the recent downturn is in.
Prominent analyst Dave that his price target’s for the cryptocurrency market’s de-facto “M1, M2, and M3” readings, which in traditional markets are the measure of different forms of “money” in the world’s economy, have recently hit his retracement targets: M1, Bitcoin’s market cap, has seen a 50% retracement; M2, the total market cap, a 61% retracement; and M3, the altcoin market cap, a 78% retracement.
He followed this up with the post seen below, in which the prominent analyst remarked that he expects for Bitcoin’s one-week Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator to turn upward, which will kick off the next round of growth in the BTC market.
Predicting the weekly MACD about to turn up…. going according to plan. 🙂 — dave the wave🌊🌓 (@davthewave)
Related Reading: Bitcoin Price is Poised to Return to $6,500 Lows; Analysts Explain Why
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