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Although cryptocurrencies are expressing signs that they are looking to surge for a second time, some analysts are adamant that BTC will flatline from here. But, that isn’t necessarily a bad thing for crypto’s prospects.
Bitcoin To Stagnate From Here?
After BTC exploded from $4,150 to $5,000 on the back of renewed institutional interest and an influx of buy-side volume, investors across the board were calling for cryptocurrencies to skyrocket even higher. This 20% move, which came within 24 hours, was such a breath of fresh air that traders were, let’s say, high on the high.Prominent crypto trader Josh Rager, however, tried to calm traders. In a tweet, the advisor to cryptocurrency startup Level claimed that BTC’s accumulation phase in the 2014 to 2015 bear market lasted for a painful 216 days. When BTC spiked past $5,000 in this cycle, accumulation had only occurred for around 110 days. In other words, if the crypto market was to rally further, widely-followed historical trends would have to be deemed moot.
//twitter.com/Josh_Rager/status/18775552Rager continued that thought process two days later. In another piece of technical/fractal analysis posted on Twitter, the commentator remarked that during the previous cycle, BTC’s 100 one-week moving average (MA) acted as an overarching resistance for months before an eventual breakout. And as the digital asset is trading well under its 100 MA on its weekly chart, an argument can be put forth Bitcoin is likely to slow from here for months on end.
Fractal-friendly chartist CryptoHamster, too, made it clear that BTC could enter a state of sluggish movement. Hamster was clear that if cryptocurrencies really did bottom when BTC hit $3,150, the market will remain within a tight range until mid-May at minimum, before determining where to head next.Bitcoin after the low in 2015 and 2018.
— CryptoHamster (@CryptoHamsterIO)
Nothing outrageous is expected.
Except the bull market. But it is pretty normal.
Crypto May Break Stagnation Trend
Not many analysts are against Bitcoin stagnating from here, as long as volume and public interest remains high, but some are convinced that there are clear signs that cryptocurrencies are poised to head higher.As trader B.Biddles remarked, Bitcoin’s one-week chart from August to now impeccably resembles a “bump-and-run reversal bottom” (BARR Bottom) shown in a notable technical analysis book. If the BARR Bottom trend plays out as the textbook’s author, Thomas Bulkowski, explains, BTC will soon see an “uphill run” that will catapult cryptocurrencies into their next bull run.
Crypto Thies would agree. Per previous reports, Thies recently noted that the two-week Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) measure has flipped green, signaling a long-term trend reversal; his in-house Market God indicator has issued a “buy”; the 30-day exponential moving average and 90-day had crossed over, and Bollinger Bands are currently signaling that BTC could rush “straight to $8,000.” But is this just wishful thinking? At this point, no one is all too sure.
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