{"id":406314,"date":"2019-12-05T18:00:06","date_gmt":"2019-12-05T18:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=406314"},"modified":"2019-12-05T16:42:33","modified_gmt":"2019-12-05T16:42:33","slug":"bitcoin-cme-futures-gaps-are-filled-with-95-certainty-but-trading-them-is-risky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-cme-futures-gaps-are-filled-with-95-certainty-but-trading-them-is-risky\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Are Filled With 95% Certainty, But Trading Them Is Risky"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">If you\u2019ve been a crypto investor or traded <a href=\"\/tag\/bitcoin\" rel=\"nofollow\">Bitcoin<\/a> at all during 2019, chances are you\u2019ve heard repeated discussion surrounding the \u201cgaps\u201d on Bitcoin futures charts offered by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">But what are gaps? And are these gaps nothing more than hype, or is the validity in taking trades based on the location of these gaps? One crypto analyst has set out to find out and has done a deep dive into the statistics of CME futures gaps and their correlation in the crypto market.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Analyzed<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Cryptocurrencies are an always-on, 24\/7, 365 days a year market. However, traditional <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/bitcoin-futures.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">trading desks like CME Group offer<\/a> weekday trading sessions. If <a href=\"\/tag\/bitcoin\" rel=\"nofollow\">Bitcoin<\/a> makes a powerful weekend move, and it often does as liquidity tends to be the lowest on weekends while traders are away from their desks, it can leave a gap between Friday\u2019s late evening close and Monday\u2019s morning open.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em><strong>Related Reading | <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/2019\/12\/03\/bah-humbug-if-bitcoin-bulls-cant-reclaim-7800-its-coal-for-christmas\/\">Bah Humbug! If Bitcoin Bulls Can\u2019t Reclaim $7,800 It\u2019s Coal For Christmas\u00a0<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Gaps commonly appear on the price charts of financial assets, when the asset\u2019s price deviates significantly from a trading period\u2019s close to when trading resumes. Gaps are even more common in speculative assets where extreme emotions like fear or exuberance can push the price higher or lower than normal market fluctuations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Bitcoin CME futures gaps have become a sort of a meme across the cryptocurrency industry, with many analysts balking at any claims of validity, while others swear by the trading strategy \u2013 and set orders near where gaps need to be filled.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/twitter.com\/thewhiskyguy\/status\/49664514?s=21<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">One particular cryptocurrency analyst decided to get to the bottom of if CME gaps were a helpful tool to assist traders with taking positions or predicting price movements, or if they are nothing more than a meme.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">The analyst says that not all gaps are filled, and some take weeks before closing, however, as much as 95% of the gaps analyzed eventually were filled. <\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Gaps Almost Always Fill, But Trading Them Is A Losing Strategy<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Taking the data a few steps further, the analyst found that over 50% of <a href=\"\/tag\/bitcoin\" rel=\"nofollow\">Bitcoin<\/a> CME futures gaps were filled on the day of the new trading session open, with 30% of the remaining gaps filled later during that week\u2019s session. Fewer and fewer gaps are closed the further the time goes by.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">The largest gap on the chart was a $1,085 price move or 12.47% of Bitcoin\u2019s price at the time, and the smallest gap was just $5. The average gap difference was $225, or 2.87%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em><strong>Related Reading | <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/2019\/12\/04\/bitcoin-to-spend-2020-in-accumulation-mode-ideal-buy-zone\/\">Bitcoin To Spend 2020 In Accumulation Mode, Ideal Buy Zone<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">The data is certainly encouraging that there\u2019s correlation for <a href=\"\/tag\/bitcoin\" rel=\"nofollow\">Bitcoin<\/a> traders to take advantage of, however, the analyst says that had each of the 100 gaps analyzed had been traded, the trades would have been stopped out 53 out of 100 times, making the strategy a losing one, even despite the 95% certainty in which gaps are filled.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you\u2019ve been a crypto investor or traded Bitcoin at all during 2019, chances are you\u2019ve heard repeated discussion surrounding the \u201cgaps\u201d on Bitcoin futures charts offered by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. But what are gaps? And are these gaps nothing more than hype, or is the validity in taking trades based on the location of these gaps? One crypto analyst has set out to find out and has done a deep dive into the statistics of CME futures gaps and their correlation in the crypto market. Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Analyzed Cryptocurrencies are an always-on, 24\/7, 365 days a year market. However, traditional trading desks like CME Group offer weekday trading sessions. If Bitcoin makes a powerful weekend move, and it often does as liquidity tends to be the lowest on weekends while traders are away from their desks, it can leave a gap between Friday\u2019s late evening close and Monday\u2019s morning open. Related Reading | Bah Humbug! If Bitcoin Bulls Can\u2019t Reclaim $7,800 It\u2019s Coal For Christmas\u00a0 Gaps commonly appear on the price charts of financial assets, when the asset\u2019s price deviates significantly from a trading period\u2019s close to when trading resumes. Gaps are even more common in speculative assets where extreme emotions like fear or exuberance can push the price higher or lower than normal market fluctuations. Bitcoin CME futures gaps have become a sort of a meme across the cryptocurrency industry, with many analysts balking at any claims of validity, while others swear by the trading strategy \u2013 and set orders near where gaps need to be filled. https:\/\/twitter.com\/thewhiskyguy\/status\/49664514?s=21 One particular cryptocurrency analyst decided to get to the bottom of if CME gaps were a helpful tool to assist traders with taking positions or predicting price movements, or if they are nothing more than a meme. The analyst says that not all gaps are filled, and some take weeks before closing, however, as much as 95% of the gaps analyzed eventually were filled. Gaps Almost Always Fill, But Trading Them Is A Losing Strategy Taking the data a few steps further, the analyst found that over 50% of Bitcoin CME futures gaps were filled on the day of the new trading session open, with 30% of the remaining gaps filled later during that week\u2019s session. Fewer and fewer gaps are closed the further the time goes by. The largest gap on the chart was a $1,085 price move or 12.47% of Bitcoin\u2019s price at the time, and the smallest gap was just $5. The average gap difference was $225, or 2.87%. Related Reading | Bitcoin To Spend 2020 In Accumulation Mode, Ideal Buy Zone The data is certainly encouraging that there\u2019s correlation for Bitcoin traders to take advantage of, however, the analyst says that had each of the 100 gaps analyzed had been traded, the trades would have been stopped out 53 out of 100 times, making the strategy a losing one, even despite the 95% certainty in which gaps are filled.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":517,"featured_media":406318,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651,3],"tags":[428,11641,6664,45189],"class_list":["post-406314","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-cme-futures","tag-crypto","tag-gaps"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Are Filled With 95% Certainty, But Trading Them Is Risky<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"If you\u2019ve been a crypto investor or traded Bitcoin at all during 2019, chances are you\u2019ve heard repeated discussion surrounding the \u201cgaps\u201d on Bitcoin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-cme-futures-gaps-are-filled-with-95-certainty-but-trading-them-is-risky\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Are Filled With 95% Certainty, But Trading Them Is Risky\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"If you\u2019ve been a crypto investor or traded Bitcoin at all during 2019, chances are you\u2019ve heard repeated discussion surrounding the \u201cgaps\u201d on Bitcoin\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-cme-futures-gaps-are-filled-with-95-certainty-but-trading-them-is-risky\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"NewsBTC\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/newsbtc\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-12-05T18:00:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-12-05T16:42:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/cme-bitcoin-futures-gap-shutterstock_568874815.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"5344\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"3240\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Tony &quot;The Bull&quot; 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The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony\u2019s expertise to guide their trading strategies. Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies. 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His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice. In summary, Tony \\\"The Bull\\\" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. 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