{"id":417500,"date":"2020-03-09T14:11:37","date_gmt":"2020-03-09T14:11:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=417500"},"modified":"2024-06-11T13:43:06","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T13:43:06","slug":"bitcoin-gold-to-explode-as-treasury-yields-hit-record-lows-top-portfolio-manager","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-gold-to-explode-as-treasury-yields-hit-record-lows-top-portfolio-manager\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin, Gold to Explode as Treasury Yields Hit Record Lows: Top Portfolio Manager"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin prices could explode based on their untapped correlation with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2020-03-09\/treasury-10-year-yields-sink-to-0-5-for-the-first-time\" rel=\"nofollow\">US Treasury yields<\/a>, according to prominent portoflio manager Ari Paul.<\/p>\n<p>The BlockTower Capita&#8217;s\u00a0co-founder and CIO pitted the cryptocurrency&#8217;s long-term potential against US government bonds as the latter rallied towards its unprecedented highs this Monday. Mr. Paul noted that lower yields on the US Treasury bonds are less attractive for investors, which makes <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/2020\/03\/09\/despite-crash-8200-this-metric-shows-bitcoin-decisive-bull-market\/\">bitcoin an attractive alternative<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Not a short-term market call at all, but it&#8217;s this dynamic that will eventually set up for a parabolic move in both gold and bitcoin [in my opinion],&#8221; the analyst said in a tweet. &#8220;Historically, gold has performed best as real rates (nominal &#8211; inflation) fell the most.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">*Not* a short-term market call at all &#8211; but it&#39;s this dynamic that will eventually set up for a parabolic move in both gold and bitcoin imo.  Historically, gold has performed best as real rates (nominal &#8211; inflation) fell the most. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/BIDhuTnq3n\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/t.co\/BIDhuTnq3n<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Ari Paul \u26d3\ufe0f (@AriDavidPaul) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AriDavidPaul\/status\/60031745?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">March 9, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin against Benchmark Bond Yields<\/h2>\n<p>When the stock market tumbles, investors usually seek safety in gold, bonds, and other hedging assets. A traditional argument says that falling yields are good for gold, going by their extremely accurate negative correlation since the 2008 financial crisis. Investors pick the yellow metal over low-risk bonds whenever the central bank cuts down its lending rates.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_417508\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-417508\" style=\"width: 670px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/fredgraph.png\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-417508 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/fredgraph.png?resize=670%2C445\" alt=\"bitcoin, cryptocurrency, crypto, gold, US treasury\" width=\"670\" height=\"445\" srcset=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/fredgraph.png?w=670 670w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/fredgraph.png?w=460 460w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 670px) 100vw, 670px\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-417508\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Relationship between Gold and US 10Y Treasury | Source: FRED<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>But, at the same time, picking gold comes with additional cost burdens. Holding it in physical form requires storage expenses, while in Demat forms like ETF charge commissions.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin, on the other hand, is cheaper to hold because of its digital form. An investor typically holds it in easily-available software wallets or in USB-like physical wallets. Those with a strong trust build with third parties also keep their bitcoin units with regulated custodians.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_417510\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-417510\" style=\"width: 860px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/ESqdp1sXkAAgtPl.jpeg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-417510 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/ESqdp1sXkAAgtPl.jpeg?resize=860%2C525\" alt=\"bitcoin, gold, fiat\" width=\"860\" height=\"525\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-417510\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Chart pitting Bitcoin against Gold and Fiat<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The entire idea of <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/2020\/03\/06\/bitcoin-gold-stocks-year-to-date-performance\/\">bitcoin surging against the falling benchmark US bonds yields<\/a> relies on the cryptocurrency behaving like a better safe-haven asset in the times of a financial crisis.<\/p>\n<h2>Haven Hunt<\/h2>\n<p>The ongoing global economic situation somewhat provides bitcoin an opportunity to show its ability to protect investors. But it is not living up to the mark.<\/p>\n<p>In retrospect, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/asian-stock-markets-in-early-monday-sell-off-after-saudi-arabias-decision-to-cut-most-of-its-oil-prices-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">global markets crashed on Monday<\/a> amidst an escalating oil price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia and an additional economic fallout from the Coronavirus epidemic. Futures linked to the three major US indices, for instance, pointed to deeper declines, with the <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/2020\/03\/03\/bitcoin-forms-uncanny-correlation-to-global-markets-as-dow-jones-rallies\/\">Dow Jones Industrial Average hinting a 1,200 points<\/a> fall following the New York morning bell.<\/p>\n<p>The downside move, overall, sent investors seeking safety in low-risk government bonds and gold. Both of them rose to their record highs.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin, on the other hand, plunged massively. Ahead of the Monday session open, the <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/2020\/03\/09\/bitcoin-just-broke-8k-here-are-important-supports\/\">cryptocurrency had fallen by more than 13 percent lower<\/a>, leading many to question its safe-haven narrative. Popular gold bull Peter Schiff, for instance, ridiculed bitcoin for underperforming against a global stock crash, stating that there is no reason now for investors to hold it.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin was created after the 2008 financial crisis and hodlers always assumed that it would be the safe-haven of choice during the next. Looks like they assumed wrong. If <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">#Bitcoin<\/a> is not a currency, not a store of value, and not a safe haven, then what is it and why own it?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeterSchiff\/status\/23879937?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">March 9, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Schiff also added that buying sovereign debts like bonds was as stupid as to buy bitcoin. To him, gold preceded every other so-called safe-haven asset.<\/p>\n<p>The yellow metal price jumped above $1,700 on Monday for the first time in about seven years.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin prices could explode based on their untapped correlation with US Treasury yields, according to prominent portoflio manager Ari Paul. The BlockTower Capita&#8217;s\u00a0co-founder and CIO pitted the cryptocurrency&#8217;s long-term potential against US government bonds as the latter rallied towards its unprecedented highs this Monday. Mr. Paul noted that lower yields on the US Treasury bonds are less attractive for investors, which makes bitcoin an attractive alternative. &#8220;Not a short-term market call at all, but it&#8217;s this dynamic that will eventually set up for a parabolic move in both gold and bitcoin [in my opinion],&#8221; the analyst said in a tweet. &#8220;Historically, gold has performed best as real rates (nominal &#8211; inflation) fell the most.&#8221; *Not* a short-term market call at all &#8211; but it&#39;s this dynamic that will eventually set up for a parabolic move in both gold and bitcoin imo. Historically, gold has performed best as real rates (nominal &#8211; inflation) fell the most. https:\/\/t.co\/BIDhuTnq3n &mdash; Ari Paul \u26d3\ufe0f (@AriDavidPaul) March 9, 2020 Bitcoin against Benchmark Bond Yields When the stock market tumbles, investors usually seek safety in gold, bonds, and other hedging assets. A traditional argument says that falling yields are good for gold, going by their extremely accurate negative correlation since the 2008 financial crisis. Investors pick the yellow metal over low-risk bonds whenever the central bank cuts down its lending rates. But, at the same time, picking gold comes with additional cost burdens. Holding it in physical form requires storage expenses, while in Demat forms like ETF charge commissions. Bitcoin, on the other hand, is cheaper to hold because of its digital form. An investor typically holds it in easily-available software wallets or in USB-like physical wallets. Those with a strong trust build with third parties also keep their bitcoin units with regulated custodians. The entire idea of bitcoin surging against the falling benchmark US bonds yields relies on the cryptocurrency behaving like a better safe-haven asset in the times of a financial crisis. Haven Hunt The ongoing global economic situation somewhat provides bitcoin an opportunity to show its ability to protect investors. But it is not living up to the mark. In retrospect, global markets crashed on Monday amidst an escalating oil price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia and an additional economic fallout from the Coronavirus epidemic. Futures linked to the three major US indices, for instance, pointed to deeper declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average hinting a 1,200 points fall following the New York morning bell. The downside move, overall, sent investors seeking safety in low-risk government bonds and gold. Both of them rose to their record highs. Bitcoin, on the other hand, plunged massively. Ahead of the Monday session open, the cryptocurrency had fallen by more than 13 percent lower, leading many to question its safe-haven narrative. Popular gold bull Peter Schiff, for instance, ridiculed bitcoin for underperforming against a global stock crash, stating that there is no reason now for investors to hold it. Bitcoin was created after the 2008 financial crisis and hodlers always assumed that it would be the safe-haven of choice during the next. Looks like they assumed wrong. If #Bitcoin is not a currency, not a store of value, and not a safe haven, then what is it and why own it? &mdash; Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) March 9, 2020 Schiff also added that buying sovereign debts like bonds was as stupid as to buy bitcoin. To him, gold preceded every other so-called safe-haven asset. The yellow metal price jumped above $1,700 on Monday for the first time in about seven years. &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":417517,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,6664,1558,2209],"class_list":["post-417500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-crypto","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-gold"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Bitcoin, Gold to Explode as Treasury Yields Hit Record Lows: Top Portfolio Manager<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin prices could explode based on their untapped correlation with US Treasury yields, according to prominent portoflio manager Ari Paul. 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He is profoundly active in the bitcoin space since 2014 \u2013 and has contributed to several cryptocurrency media outlets, including NewsBTC, FxDailyReport, Bitcoinist, and CCN. Academically, Yashu holds a bachelor's in information technology, with majors in data structures and C++ programming language. He has also won the 'Atulya Award' for his efforts towards raising $100,000 for an India-based farming project.\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/author\/gola-yashu\/\"}]}<\/script>\n","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Bitcoin, Gold to Explode as Treasury Yields Hit Record Lows: Top Portfolio Manager","description":"Bitcoin prices could explode based on their untapped correlation with US Treasury yields, according to prominent portoflio manager Ari Paul. 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