{"id":428357,"date":"2020-06-24T11:00:51","date_gmt":"2020-06-24T11:00:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=428357"},"modified":"2024-06-11T14:04:20","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T14:04:20","slug":"a-9000-retest-bitcoin-as-btig-negative-sp-500","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/a-9000-retest-bitcoin-as-btig-negative-sp-500\/","title":{"rendered":"A $9,000-Retest Likely for Bitcoin as BTIG Relays Negative S&P 500 Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"
Bitcoin plunged in early Wednesday trading session after failing to secure a strong foothold above $9,700<\/a> earlier this week.<\/p>\n The benchmark cryptocurrency was trading 1.15 percent lower at circa $9,512 as of 1017 UTC. The drop came as a part of a corrective pullback from $9,792-resistance, established on Monday. Traders perceived the price top as their cue to exit their bullish positions for small profits.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n The bearish correction, meanwhile, is looking to extend itself further. Part of the reason is Bitcoin’s volatility, which has fallen to its eight-month low, according to readings from Bollinger Bands. Also, the daily trade volume on BTC\/USD charts looks meager enough to validate an upside continuation.<\/p>\n Bitcoin’s uncanny positive correlation with the S&P 500<\/a> also points towards further losses.<\/p>\n Ahead of the Wednesday open, futures tied to the U.S. benchmark index edged lower by 0.87 percent. The downside sentiment appeared as investors assessed concerning signals from the economy, including a resurgence in virus infections in parts of the U.S., Europe, and China.<\/p>\n Julian Emanuel, the chief equity and derivatives strategist at New York-based investment firm BTIG LCC, noted<\/a> that the S&P 500 could fall further in the coming session.<\/p>\n The veteran said in a note to investors that the U.S. benchmark’s growing disconnect with its fellow American index, the Nasdaq Composite, could lead it lower towards the lower end of its trading range.<\/p>\n The Nasdaq reached a record high on Tuesday, leaving the S&P 500, as well as the Dow Jones behind.<\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Meanwhile, Mr. Emanuel also noted that if the\u00a0Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) moves above 45, it would lead the index towards its June 15 low at 2,965.<\/p>\n In the previous instances, VIX levels between 25 and 45 have resulted in broader declines in the S&P 500.<\/p>\n The CFA Institute, a group that comprises of veteran global investment management professionals, also reported that only 10 percent of their 13,300\u00a0members see a V-shaped recovery.<\/p>\n Many found the current stock market rally divorced by the economic reality, driven merely by a\u00a0vast policy response from central banks and governments.<\/p>\n \u201cYou have a separation between the real economy and markets right now and you are hoping it doesn\u2019t get too big before a correction takes place,\u201d Olivier Fines, the author of the CFA report, told FT<\/a>. \u201cAt some point markets will have to have something to do with the real economy.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n A crash in the S&P 500 could drive Bitcoin lower alongside. Traders looking to cover their margin calls would sell the most profitable asset of their portfolio first to seek cash liquidity. That may lead the bitcoin, one of the best-performing assets of 2020, down.<\/p>\n The next cryptocurrency plunge could be more significant, but technical analysts find $8,600-9,000 a safe downside target.<\/p>\n #bitcoin<\/a><\/p>\n I'd prefer not to see a revisit to below $9k otherwise we could see a drop close to $8600.<\/p>\n Otherwise, I'm seeing positive signs and leaning more towards a relief bounce early on today up towards $9300 area.<\/p>\n — Nebraskangooner (@Nebraskangooner) June 15, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\nBitcoin price chart on TradingView.com<\/a> showing its downside correction from its weekly high near $9,800. Source: TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
More Losses Ahead<\/h2>\n
A rise in VIX, which represents volatility, could cause a massive downside correction in the S&P 500 market. Source: Bloomberg<\/a><\/pre>\n
Red Signals for Bitcoin<\/h2>\n
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