{"id":452777,"date":"2020-12-21T23:00:23","date_gmt":"2020-12-21T23:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=452777"},"modified":"2024-06-11T11:33:27","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T11:33:27","slug":"bitcoin-dominance-in-december-why-the-future-of-altcoins-hinge-on-this-months-close","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-dominance-in-december-why-the-future-of-altcoins-hinge-on-this-months-close\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Dominance In December: Why The Future Of Altcoins Hinge On This Month’s Close"},"content":{"rendered":"
Bitcoin is well above its former all-time high, but the “alt season” where altcoins explode in value<\/a> relative to the top-ranked cryptocurrency has yet to arrive.<\/p>\n BTC dominance, a metric weighing all other crypto assets against Bitcoin is facing a pivotal monthly close that could jeopardize any chances of a greater altcoin market recovery. Here’s why the future of alts like Ethereum, XRP, and more, hinges on the December 2020 monthly close.<\/p>\n Rewind to any point over the last three months as a bullish Bitcoin approached $20,000, and most crypto analysts who were around during the last market cycle, fully expected alt season to happen almost immediately after the top cryptocurrency took out its former all-time high<\/a>.<\/p>\n That moment has come and gone, yet altcoins have only been taken a further beating for it. Many altcoins are increasing in USD value, presenting the guise of positive price growth.<\/p>\n But switching over to the same altcoins trading against BTC<\/a>, few have managed to perform anywhere near as well as Bitcoin.<\/p>\n Related Reading | Entrepreneur Calls Ethereum Silver To Bitcoin As Digital Gold, Not Litecoin<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n A strong Bitcoin while altcoins struggle, results in BTC dominance increasing. The total crypto market cap is roughly $636 billion, of which Bitcoin makes up exactly two thirds currently at 66.7%.<\/p>\n At the lowest reading of BTC.D ever, altcoins left Bitcoin only with a third of the market share, but the tables have since turned. And with Bitcoin more bullish than ever and with an entirely different asset class<\/a> behind the capital pouring into crypto altcoins are at risk of becoming only a mere fraction of the total crypto market capitalization.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n The first of the bullish (for Bitcoin) signals that could send altcoins further into a bearish state, is the MACD<\/a> on monthly timeframes pictured above. The short-lived DeFi “summer of love” turned the histogram back red for the first time since July 2018, but as of December, the histogram has turned green again.<\/p>\n Coinciding with the histogram flipping bullish, there’s also a bullish crossover of the two moving averages depicted on the MACD. The last bullish crossover sent dominance from roughly 40% to 70%, and another crossover is forming now. A monthly close is required to confirm the crossover, so there’s still time for altcoin bulls to stop big bear Bitcoin from swatting them down further<\/a>.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Next, the Bollinger Bands<\/a> on monthly timeframes are also showing just how in danger of extinction altcoins are currently. A close above or below the middle-line moving average can be used as a confirmation to buy or sell.<\/p>\n Related Reading | This Bearish Chart Pattern Could Cut The Crypto Altcoin Market Cap by 50%<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n Assets closing beyond the middle-line often result in the price action tagging the other side of the band. This means that if December closes above the middle-line, a retest of the top band and over 70% dominance is likely. Failing to close through the middle-line, could bring alt season to the crypto market finally<\/a>.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n But if BTC dominance can close outside of the Ichimoku cloud in December, all bets are likely off for altcoins for the time being<\/a>. When assets trade above the Tenkan-Sen (blue line and corresponding arrow) they’re considered bullish.<\/p>\n The Tenkan-Sen above the Kijun-Sen is also a signal that a bullish trend is underway<\/a>. The significance of each crossover is depicted with red and green arrows.<\/p>\n Closing above the cloud or “Kumo” on the Ichimoku indicator<\/a> on monthly timeframes on BTC.D would be a signal of doom for altcoins. The remaining source of hope, however, is also in the cloud itself.<\/p>\nBitcoin Dominates Crypto Market Interest, Will Altcoin Season Ever Return?<\/h2>\n
The MACD indicator will cross bullish with a December close above 66.7% | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Three Technical Indicators Suggest BTC Dominance Will Soon Soar, Crush Alts Further<\/h2>\n
BTC dominance closing above the middle-BB could confirm a move higher | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Ichimoku is giving bullish signals, but BTC.D must get its head above the clouds | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n