{"id":467230,"date":"2021-07-10T18:00:53","date_gmt":"2021-07-10T18:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=467230"},"modified":"2024-06-11T13:56:57","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T13:56:57","slug":"bitcoin-volatility-fractal-bullish-explosion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-volatility-fractal-bullish-explosion\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Historical Volatility Fractal Points To Brewing Bullish Explosion"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price has been trapped in a tightening trading range and has barely moved in weeks. The top cryptocurrency by market cap has been boring compared to its <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/analysis\/btc\/volatility-bitcoin-crypto-beginning\/\">characteristically volatile self<\/a>.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Looking back at the asset\u2019s historic volatility, a fractal pattern could be forming that suggests the price per BTC is about to blast off to unprecedented heights.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Fractals And How History Doesn&#8217;t Rhyme But It Often Repeats<\/h2>\n<p>Mark Twain <a href=\"https:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.com.au\/brian-adams\/history-doesnt-repeat-but-it-often-rhymes_a_21657884\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">said<\/a> that &#8220;history doesn&#8217;t repeat, but if often rhymes.&#8221; The statement best explains the theory behind repeating price patterns called fractals.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em><strong>Related Reading | <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-ready-for-display-of-strength-but-which-direction-will-it-break\/\">Bitcoin Ready For Display Of Strength, But Which Direction Will It Break<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>These <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/analysis\/btc\/factors-stack-in-favor-of-bullish-bitcoin-fractal-despite-latest-plunge\/\">fractals<\/a> appear similar to another point in historic price action, and help analysts to predict and anticipate future market behavior. The results can be mixed, as rarely do things play out exactly the same. This fact has earned fractals a negative reputation, however, even in Bitcoin there is some specific behavior that can be expected.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-467234 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/bitcoin-fractal.png?resize=860%2C398\" alt=\"bitcoin fractal\" width=\"860\" height=\"398\"><\/p>\n<pre style=\"text-align: center\">Every cycle looks similar by comparison when zooming out | Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BLX\/?exchange=BNC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">BLX on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n<p>For example, each major breakout past all-time high resulted in <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/analysis\/btc\/parabolic-bitcoin-dangerous-collapse\/\">a parabolic uptrend<\/a> and the visual comparisons are undeniable. The most recent uptrend of which has come to a screeching halt, turning a stumble into a full-on 50% or more collapse.<\/p>\n<p>While the market ponders if the bull trend is kaput, even technicals have become mixed. There is a handful of doji candles on the weekly, a tight trading range, and volatility has dropped to an important level. All of these signs <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-ready-for-display-of-strength-but-which-direction-will-it-break\/\">point to a potential reaction<\/a>, and if &#8220;history&#8221; has anything to do with it, the volatility should be released to the upside.<\/p>\n<h2>What Historical Volatility Says About The\u00a0Bitcoin Bull Run Finale<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.diygenius.com\/fractals-in-nature\/#:~:text=A%20fractal%20is%20a%20pattern,the%20biodiversity%20of%20a%20forest.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">All throughout nature<\/a> there are fractal-like patterns that repeat again and again. Price action in financial assets commonly exhibit such repeating behavior, such as cycling between bear and bull markets.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is no different, and is known for patterns that appear again and again. Looking back at the Historical Volatility indicator on weekly timeframes, we may have <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-trend-strength-indicator-suggests-bull-run-isnt-yet-over\/\">one of those instances brewing<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-467235 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/bitcoin-volatility-fractal.png?resize=860%2C398\" alt=\"bitcoin volatility fractal\" width=\"860\" height=\"398\"><\/p>\n<pre style=\"text-align: center\">Mid-cycle consolidation then kicks volatility into high gear | Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSD\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n<p>During the previous bull market, which is clear the current cycle isn&#8217;t quite following in terms of &#8220;only up&#8221; price action, after one of the largest shakeouts, volatility finally held above a key level and kickstarted <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/crypto\/crypto-bull-market-could-look-like\/\">the last leg of the bull market<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Anyone who had assumed it was the peak of the cycle, would have been left in the dust as Bitcoin churned out another 900%+ of bull market ROI and volatility went parabolic.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em><strong>Related Reading | <a class=\"row-title\" href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-trend-strength-indicator-suggests-bull-run-isnt-yet-over\/\">Bitcoin Trend Strength Indicator Suggests Bull Run Isn\u2019t Yet Over<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is back and trying to hold above a very similar support line, and if successful, should send volatility back along a parabolic curve along with price action. That would put the top of the current bull cycle at <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-dominance-in-december-why-the-future-of-altcoins-hinge-on-this-months-close\/\">around December<\/a>, which \u2013 historically \u2013 has marked a significant top or bottom every year since 2017.<\/p>\n<p>Still think history doesn&#8217;t rhyme?<\/p>\n<p><strong><i>Follow <\/i><a style=\"font-style: italic\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/tonyspilotroBTC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">@TonySpilotro on Twitter<\/a><i> or via <\/i><a style=\"font-style: italic\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/joinchat\/jDf4fvPbA2VjZjE5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">the TonyTrades Telegram<\/a><i>. Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice.<\/i><\/strong><\/p>\n<pre>Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price has been trapped in a tightening trading range and has barely moved in weeks. The top cryptocurrency by market cap has been boring compared to its characteristically volatile self.\u00a0 Looking back at the asset\u2019s historic volatility, a fractal pattern could be forming that suggests the price per BTC is about to blast off to unprecedented heights.\u00a0 Fractals And How History Doesn&#8217;t Rhyme But It Often Repeats Mark Twain said that &#8220;history doesn&#8217;t repeat, but if often rhymes.&#8221; The statement best explains the theory behind repeating price patterns called fractals. Related Reading | Bitcoin Ready For Display Of Strength, But Which Direction Will It Break These fractals appear similar to another point in historic price action, and help analysts to predict and anticipate future market behavior. The results can be mixed, as rarely do things play out exactly the same. This fact has earned fractals a negative reputation, however, even in Bitcoin there is some specific behavior that can be expected. Every cycle looks similar by comparison when zooming out | Source: BLX on TradingView.com For example, each major breakout past all-time high resulted in a parabolic uptrend and the visual comparisons are undeniable. The most recent uptrend of which has come to a screeching halt, turning a stumble into a full-on 50% or more collapse. While the market ponders if the bull trend is kaput, even technicals have become mixed. There is a handful of doji candles on the weekly, a tight trading range, and volatility has dropped to an important level. All of these signs point to a potential reaction, and if &#8220;history&#8221; has anything to do with it, the volatility should be released to the upside. What Historical Volatility Says About The\u00a0Bitcoin Bull Run Finale All throughout nature there are fractal-like patterns that repeat again and again. Price action in financial assets commonly exhibit such repeating behavior, such as cycling between bear and bull markets. Bitcoin is no different, and is known for patterns that appear again and again. Looking back at the Historical Volatility indicator on weekly timeframes, we may have one of those instances brewing. Mid-cycle consolidation then kicks volatility into high gear | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com During the previous bull market, which is clear the current cycle isn&#8217;t quite following in terms of &#8220;only up&#8221; price action, after one of the largest shakeouts, volatility finally held above a key level and kickstarted the last leg of the bull market. Anyone who had assumed it was the peak of the cycle, would have been left in the dust as Bitcoin churned out another 900%+ of bull market ROI and volatility went parabolic. Related Reading | Bitcoin Trend Strength Indicator Suggests Bull Run Isn\u2019t Yet Over Bitcoin is back and trying to hold above a very similar support line, and if successful, should send volatility back along a parabolic curve along with price action. That would put the top of the current bull cycle at around December, which \u2013 historically \u2013 has marked a significant top or bottom every year since 2017. Still think history doesn&#8217;t rhyme? Follow @TonySpilotro on Twitter or via the TonyTrades Telegram. Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":517,"featured_media":467239,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,1119,1144,78790,6664,28253,83847,4524,76835],"class_list":["post-467230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btcusd","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-fractals","tag-historical-volatility","tag-xbt","tag-xbtusd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Bitcoin Historical Volatility Fractal Points To Brewing Bullish Explosion<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin price has been trapped in a tightening trading range and has barely moved in weeks. 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The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony\u2019s expertise to guide their trading strategies. Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies. Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders. His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics. Tony\u2019s nickname, \\\"The Bull,\\\" aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice. In summary, Tony \\\"The Bull\\\" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. 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