{"id":489385,"date":"2022-05-01T09:00:55","date_gmt":"2022-05-01T09:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=489385"},"modified":"2024-06-11T11:31:56","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T11:31:56","slug":"bitcoin-halving-model-suggests-24000-bottom-before-years-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-halving-model-suggests-24000-bottom-before-years-end\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Halving Model Suggests $24,000 Bottom Before Year&#8217;s End"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Some analysts say that Bitcoin\u2019s current price action aligns with the Bitcoin halving model, leading them to expect a $24000 bottom before year-end.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The topic of Bitcoin&#8217;s four-year halving cycle and its effects on BTC&#8217;s long-term price is one that has been highly debated within the crypto community.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em><strong>Related Reading | <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/tether-usdt-q1-trading-volume-plunges\/\">Tether (USDT) Q1 Trading Volume Plunges To $5.3 Trillion In Quarterly Low<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Crypto analysts predicted that the price of Bitcoin would reach $100,000 by 2021. However, it did not get to this level, and now analysts wonder what will happen in the next six to twelve months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">At the moment, the price of BTC is below $40,000. Many technical analysis metrics suggest that it is more likely that the price will go down further than it will recover to the $40,000 to $45,000 range. Let&#8217;s look at what analysts think about Bitcoin&#8217;s long-term prospects.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_489387\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-489387\" style=\"width: 549px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-489387\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/BTCUSD_2022-05-01_02-15-52.png?resize=549%2C322\" alt=\"Bitcoin Price\" width=\"549\" height=\"322\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-489387\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin started the day in red with a 0.78% decline | Source: BTC\/USD chart from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\" rel=\"nofollow\">Tradingview.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Bitcoin Could Tumble To $24,000 By The Year-End<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Crypto analyst and pseudonymous Twitter user &#8220;<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WolvesofCrypto_\/status\/38891522\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Wolves of Crypto<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">&#8221; discussed the four-year cycle theory on Twitter. This theory <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WolvesofCrypto_\/status\/55521538\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">suggests <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">that the &#8220;most probable bear market bottom for Bitcoin will take place in November\/December 2022.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">As per the projection, Bitcoin marked its highest of the last cycle by reaching $68,789 on November 10, 2021. So now, the BTC market is in the corrective phase, usually seen after the cycle top.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The analyst said;<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The 200\u2013week SMA has been the long-tested bear market bottom indicator for Bitcoin, and hence, the bottom will likely be placed at ~$24,000.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">If this model is correct, we will see bitcoin break out past its all-time high sometime between August and September of 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The independent market analyst Willy Woo suggested that the bottom in Bitcoin could come before the end of 2022. He mentioned, \u201cOrange coin seems a bit undervalued here.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_489386\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-489386\" style=\"width: 460px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-489386\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Chart.jpg?resize=460%2C283\" alt=\"Highly liquid supply shock oscillator\" width=\"460\" height=\"283\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-489386\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Highly liquid supply shock oscillator. Source: Twitter<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The &#8220;Highly Liquid Supply Shock&#8221; metric measures how much demand and supply have changed from the long-term average.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The chart above shows that when the oscillator went down to the same level as it is now, the price of Bitcoin went up shortly afterward.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">He <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/woonomic\/status\/50940418\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">said<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">;<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Not a bad time for investors to wait for the law of mean reversion to play out.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>BTC At Mid-term Low<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The crypto market analyst Philip Swift has suggested that Bitcoin could be in an optimal accumulation range. The AASI or active address sentiment indicator indicates this point for the buy zone.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em><strong>Related Reading | <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-struggles-to-hold-40k-while-crypto-track-us-stocks\/\">Bitcoin Struggles To Hold $40K While Crypto Track US Stocks<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cThe AASI is back in the green zone. This suggests that the Bitcoin price change is at a sensible level relative to active address change,\u201d said Swift. \u201cThis tool has a good hit rate across bull and bear markets for signaling a mid-term low.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The AASI reading is currently similar to the readings it had in the past. For example, the price of Bitcoin was low around the same time, and it increased in price a few weeks or months later.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Generally, Bitcoin is following a four-year cycle, but the increase is happening at a slower rate than expected.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<pre>                     Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview<\/pre>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some analysts say that Bitcoin\u2019s current price action aligns with the Bitcoin halving model, leading them to expect a $24000 bottom before year-end.\u00a0 The topic of Bitcoin&#8217;s four-year halving cycle and its effects on BTC&#8217;s long-term price is one that has been highly debated within the crypto community.\u00a0 Related Reading | Tether (USDT) Q1 Trading Volume Plunges To $5.3 Trillion In Quarterly Low Crypto analysts predicted that the price of Bitcoin would reach $100,000 by 2021. However, it did not get to this level, and now analysts wonder what will happen in the next six to twelve months. At the moment, the price of BTC is below $40,000. Many technical analysis metrics suggest that it is more likely that the price will go down further than it will recover to the $40,000 to $45,000 range. Let&#8217;s look at what analysts think about Bitcoin&#8217;s long-term prospects. Bitcoin Could Tumble To $24,000 By The Year-End Crypto analyst and pseudonymous Twitter user &#8220;Wolves of Crypto&#8221; discussed the four-year cycle theory on Twitter. This theory suggests that the &#8220;most probable bear market bottom for Bitcoin will take place in November\/December 2022.&#8221; As per the projection, Bitcoin marked its highest of the last cycle by reaching $68,789 on November 10, 2021. So now, the BTC market is in the corrective phase, usually seen after the cycle top.\u00a0 The analyst said; The 200\u2013week SMA has been the long-tested bear market bottom indicator for Bitcoin, and hence, the bottom will likely be placed at ~$24,000. If this model is correct, we will see bitcoin break out past its all-time high sometime between August and September of 2023. The independent market analyst Willy Woo suggested that the bottom in Bitcoin could come before the end of 2022. He mentioned, \u201cOrange coin seems a bit undervalued here.\u201d\u00a0 The &#8220;Highly Liquid Supply Shock&#8221; metric measures how much demand and supply have changed from the long-term average. The chart above shows that when the oscillator went down to the same level as it is now, the price of Bitcoin went up shortly afterward. He said; Not a bad time for investors to wait for the law of mean reversion to play out. BTC At Mid-term Low The crypto market analyst Philip Swift has suggested that Bitcoin could be in an optimal accumulation range. The AASI or active address sentiment indicator indicates this point for the buy zone. Related Reading | Bitcoin Struggles To Hold $40K While Crypto Track US Stocks \u201cThe AASI is back in the green zone. This suggests that the Bitcoin price change is at a sensible level relative to active address change,\u201d said Swift. \u201cThis tool has a good hit rate across bull and bear markets for signaling a mid-term low.\u201d The AASI reading is currently similar to the readings it had in the past. For example, the price of Bitcoin was low around the same time, and it increased in price a few weeks or months later. Generally, Bitcoin is following a four-year cycle, but the increase is happening at a slower rate than expected. &nbsp; Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":561,"featured_media":489388,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,8856,7566,1558,85875],"class_list":["post-489385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-halving","tag-bitcoin-reward-halving","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-halving-cycle"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Bitcoin Halving Model Suggests $24,000 Bottom Before Year&#039;s End<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Analysts say that Bitcoin\u2019s current price action aligns with the Bitcoin halving model, leading them to expect a $24K bottom 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