{"id":513388,"date":"2022-12-22T14:00:54","date_gmt":"2022-12-22T19:00:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=513388"},"modified":"2024-06-11T08:19:37","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T08:19:37","slug":"bitcoin-volatility-spike-2022-which-way","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-volatility-spike-2022-which-way\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Volatility Will Spike By End 2022, Which Way Will It Push BTC?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Bitcoin is stuck at its current levels, but the market might begin moving again before 2023 makes its entry. The key factors shaping global markets are changing, and cryptocurrencies are bound to follow the general trend into the new year.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-reading-shortcode\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-correction-mvrv-bearish-cross\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Bitcoin Correction Soon? MVRV Triple Ribbon Approaches Bearish Cross<\/a><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $16,800 with sideways movement in the last 24 hours. On higher timeframes, the cryptocurrency records a 6% loss. Other assets in the crypto top 10 by market capitalization are moving in tandem with BTC and record losses in this period.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_513432\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-513432\" style=\"width: 860px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-513432 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bitcoin-BTC-BTCUSDT-10.png?resize=860%2C376\" alt=\"Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT\" width=\"860\" height=\"376\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-513432\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC&#8217;s price moving sideways on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSDT Tradingview<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Bitcoin Investors Should Brace For Incoming Volatility<\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Bitcoin and the crypto market are poised for volatile days during the holiday season. From now until the end of the year, markets will see less trading volume, making assets susceptible to sudden price movements.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">According to a <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bitfinex-Alpha-35.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">report<\/a> from crypto exchange Bitfinex, the number of active Bitcoin addresses is declining. This number has been trending to the downside across 2022.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The chart below shows that the number of daily active addresses averaged 921,445 during this period, representing a decline of 1.1 million compared to 2021. This reduction in activity will contribute to the spike in volatility.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The last week of the year has seen a steeper decline in activity, and trading volume, since 2013. In addition, the downside action\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Data since 2013 suggests that there is always a decline of 3-4 percent in the number of daily active addresses in the last week of the year compared to the previous month. Aside from the decline in trading volumes, the fall in DAA could also correspond to reduced mining operations as miners&#8217; activity corresponds to BTC&#8217;s most significant on-chain movements.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure id=\"attachment_513431\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-513431\" style=\"width: 860px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-513431 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bitcoin-BTC-BTCUSDT-Chart-2-Glassnode.jpg?resize=860%2C479\" alt=\"Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT Chart 2 Glassnode\" width=\"860\" height=\"479\" srcset=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bitcoin-BTC-BTCUSDT-Chart-2-Glassnode.jpg?w=860 860w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bitcoin-BTC-BTCUSDT-Chart-2-Glassnode.jpg?w=460 460w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bitcoin-BTC-BTCUSDT-Chart-2-Glassnode.jpg?w=768 768w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bitcoin-BTC-BTCUSDT-Chart-2-Glassnode.jpg?w=750 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 860px) 100vw, 860px\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-513431\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC on-chain activity is on a long-year decline. Source: Bitfinex Alpha<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3>Finding Direction For The BTC Price<\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">According to the report, one metric is vital to forecast BTC&#8217;s direction amid higher volatility. This metric is the Monthly Realised Volatility, which measures what has happened in the market over the past 30 days.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This metric is at its lowest &#8220;since Q3 of 2022, just before the last bull run.&#8221; As seen in the chart below, each time Monthly Realised Volatility reached similar levels, the Bitcoin price trends to the upside over the coming months.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_513430\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-513430\" style=\"width: 860px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-513430 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bitcoin-BTC-BTCUSDT-Chart-3-BW.jpg?resize=860%2C550\" alt=\"Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT Chart 3 BW\" width=\"860\" height=\"550\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-513430\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC Monthly Realised Volatility at historically bullish levels. Source: Bitfinex Alpha<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"related-reading-shortcode\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/tron-shows-bullish-energy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Tron Shows Bullish Energy And Attracts Investors To Buy TRX<\/a><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The current trend in the market is to the downside, but many experts have begun shifting their predictions. As NewsBTC <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-holders-loss-number-positive-btc\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">reported<\/a> yesterday, a different report claims the long-term bullish case for Bitcoin strengthened:<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>(\u2026) the value proposition for bitcoin has only strengthened this year as sovereign currencies around the world have shown signs of stress and central banks continue to grapple with policy credibility.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is stuck at its current levels, but the market might begin moving again before 2023 makes its entry. The key factors shaping global markets are changing, and cryptocurrencies are bound to follow the general trend into the new year.\u00a0 Related Reading: Bitcoin Correction Soon? MVRV Triple Ribbon Approaches Bearish Cross As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $16,800 with sideways movement in the last 24 hours. On higher timeframes, the cryptocurrency records a 6% loss. Other assets in the crypto top 10 by market capitalization are moving in tandem with BTC and record losses in this period.\u00a0 Bitcoin Investors Should Brace For Incoming Volatility Bitcoin and the crypto market are poised for volatile days during the holiday season. From now until the end of the year, markets will see less trading volume, making assets susceptible to sudden price movements.\u00a0 According to a report from crypto exchange Bitfinex, the number of active Bitcoin addresses is declining. This number has been trending to the downside across 2022.\u00a0 The chart below shows that the number of daily active addresses averaged 921,445 during this period, representing a decline of 1.1 million compared to 2021. This reduction in activity will contribute to the spike in volatility.\u00a0 The last week of the year has seen a steeper decline in activity, and trading volume, since 2013. In addition, the downside action\u00a0 Data since 2013 suggests that there is always a decline of 3-4 percent in the number of daily active addresses in the last week of the year compared to the previous month. Aside from the decline in trading volumes, the fall in DAA could also correspond to reduced mining operations as miners&#8217; activity corresponds to BTC&#8217;s most significant on-chain movements. Finding Direction For The BTC Price According to the report, one metric is vital to forecast BTC&#8217;s direction amid higher volatility. This metric is the Monthly Realised Volatility, which measures what has happened in the market over the past 30 days.\u00a0 This metric is at its lowest &#8220;since Q3 of 2022, just before the last bull run.&#8221; As seen in the chart below, each time Monthly Realised Volatility reached similar levels, the Bitcoin price trends to the upside over the coming months.\u00a0 Related Reading: Tron Shows Bullish Energy And Attracts Investors To Buy TRX The current trend in the market is to the downside, but many experts have begun shifting their predictions. As NewsBTC reported yesterday, a different report claims the long-term bullish case for Bitcoin strengthened: (\u2026) the value proposition for bitcoin has only strengthened this year as sovereign currencies around the world have shown signs of stress and central banks continue to grapple with policy credibility.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":535,"featured_media":511295,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,1119,78790],"class_list":["post-513388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btcusdt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Bitcoin Volatility Will Spike By End 2022, Which Way Will It Push BTC?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin is stuck at its current levels, but the market might begin moving again before 2023 makes its entry. 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His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide. In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride. He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times. In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson\u2019s \u2018Neuromancer.\u2019 The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau\u2019s \u2018Civil Disobedience.\u2019 But that\u2019s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term. In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry. Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/reynaldo-mrquez-2ab111190\/\",\"https:\/\/x.com\/rl_m\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/author\/reynaldomarquez\/\"}]}<\/script>\n","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Bitcoin Volatility Will Spike By End 2022, Which Way Will It Push BTC?","description":"Bitcoin is stuck at its current levels, but the market might begin moving again before 2023 makes its entry. 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His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide. In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride. He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times. In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson\u2019s \u2018Neuromancer.\u2019 The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau\u2019s \u2018Civil Disobedience.\u2019 But that\u2019s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term. In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry. Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/reynaldo-mrquez-2ab111190\/","https:\/\/x.com\/rl_m"],"url":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/author\/reynaldomarquez\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Bitcoin Volatility Will Spike By End 2022, Which Way Will It Push BTC?","url":"http:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-volatility-spike-2022-which-way\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-volatility-spike-2022-which-way\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iStock-1403389740.jpg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iStock-1403389740.jpg?fit=1365%2C768"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Reynaldo Marquez"}],"creator":["Reynaldo Marquez"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","btc","btcusdt"],"dateCreated":"2022-12-22T19:00:54Z","datePublished":"2022-12-22T19:00:54Z","dateModified":"2024-06-11T08:19:37Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Volatility Will Spike By End 2022, Which Way Will It Push BTC?\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-volatility-spike-2022-which-way\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-volatility-spike-2022-which-way\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/iStock-1403389740.jpg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/iStock-1403389740.jpg?fit=1365%2C768\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Reynaldo Marquez\"}],\"creator\":[\"Reynaldo Marquez\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"btc\",\"btcusdt\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2022-12-22T19:00:54Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-12-22T19:00:54Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-11T08:19:37Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/uniquehot.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iStock-1403389740.jpg?fit=1365%2C768","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/513388","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/535"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=513388"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/513388\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/511295"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=513388"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=513388"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=513388"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}