{"id":552087,"date":"2023-09-20T07:30:42","date_gmt":"2023-09-20T07:30:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=552087"},"modified":"2023-09-20T07:11:55","modified_gmt":"2023-09-20T07:11:55","slug":"decoding-the-fed-bitcoin-crypto-post-tightening","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/decoding-the-fed-bitcoin-crypto-post-tightening\/","title":{"rendered":"Decoding The Fed: The Future Of Bitcoin And Crypto Post-Tightening"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As the market braces itself for the Federal Reserve&#8217;s imminent announcement regarding its monetary policy, speculations are rife about the potential impact on Bitcoin and crypto. Based on Grayscale&#8217;s recent <a href=\"https:\/\/grayscale.com\/market-byte-crypto-and-the-end-of-fed-tightening\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">analysis<\/a> by Zach Pandl, today&#8217;s announcement could be the critical juncture the Bitcoin and crypto community has been awaiting.<\/p>\n<p>In the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis in 2020, the Federal Reserve embarked on a path of significant monetary easing to reignite the US economy. Their initial stance was one of unwavering support: &#8220;The Federal Reserve committed to overstimulating the US economy\u2013with hopes to avoid the sluggish recovery that followed the 2008-2009 financial crisis.&#8221; This decision saw a bolstered Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in 2020.<\/p>\n<div class=\"related-reading-shortcode\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-sees-sudden-boost-amid-mt-gox-rumors-but-qcp-capital-targets-22000\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Bitcoin Sees Sudden Boost Amid Mt. Gox Rumors, But QCP Capital Targets $22,000<\/a><\/div>\n<p>However, as Pandl points out, the tide seemed to turn in mid-2021 when the Federal Reserve had a revelation: &#8220;[The Fed] seemed to realize it was overdoing it.&#8221; What followed was a series of the most &#8220;largest and steepest funds rate increases in modern history.&#8221; As real interest rates rebounded, Bitcoin&#8217;s valuation, which had soared during the period of monetary easing, began to see a massive downturn.<\/p>\n<h2>The Road Ahead For Bitcoin And Crypto<\/h2>\n<p>Pandl&#8217;s analysis elucidates the heightened anticipation around the FOMC&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/breaking-news-ticker\/fomc-delivers-expected-0-25-rate-hike-bitcoin-holds-steady-above-29000\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">meeting<\/a>. He notes, &#8220;We believe the FOMC is likely to keep rates on hold at tomorrow\u2019s meeting.&#8221; Notably, this is in line with broader market expectations. According to the FedWatch tool, 99% expect a pause by the Fed.<\/p>\n<p>Despite hints earlier in June 2023 about potential rate increments beyond the 5.25-5.50% range, the current economic indicators, such as &#8220;benign inflation data&#8221; and steady &#8220;oil prices,&#8221; could influence the committee&#8217;s decision, argues Pandl.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, as the report astutely mentions, it&#8217;s not just about the immediate policy decision: &#8220;For crypto, whether the Fed hikes one more time or not may be less important than the fact that the broader tightening cycle is coming to an end.&#8221; This perspective, when viewed in light of historical data, suggests a potential upliftment for digital assets. After all, &#8220;After the funds rate peaked in the last five tightening cycles, real interest rates declined and equity market performance generally improved.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div class=\"related-reading-shortcode\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/bitcoin-news\/wyckoff-support-holds-strong-bitcoin-bulls-eyeing-31000-in-near-term-rally\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Wyckoff Support Holds Strong: Bitcoin Bulls Eyeing $31,000 In Near-Term Rally<\/a><\/div>\n<p>Although the crypto ecosystem continues to evolve at a rapid pace with &#8220;new applications, enhancements to existing protocols, and wider adoption,&#8221; its valuations haven&#8217;t always mirrored these advancements. Over the last few years, as Pandl underscores, &#8220;valuations have been heavily influenced by the macroeconomics backdrop and swings in Fed monetary policy\u2013from ultra-easy policy in 2020 to steep rate increases more recently.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The potential conclusion of the Fed&#8217;s rate increases could signify a pivotal moment for Bitcoin and other digital assets. As we approach this juncture, the crypto market may find itself at a crossroads where &#8220;A possible end of the tightening process could remove a headwind to crypto valuations, and allow prices to more closely track the industry\u2019s improving fundamentals.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>At press time, BTC traded at $27,099.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_552095\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-552095\" style=\"width: 3628px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-552095 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?resize=3628%2C1672\" alt=\"Bitcoin price\" width=\"3628\" height=\"1672\" srcset=\"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?w=3628 3628w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?w=460 460w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?w=768 768w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?w=860 860w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?w=1536 1536w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?w=2048 2048w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?w=750 750w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?w=1140 1140w, https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BTCUSD_2023-09-20_09-08-16.png?w=3000 3000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-552095\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC holds above $27,000 pre-FOMC , 1-day chart | Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/iqhbyRKQ\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"disclaimer-shortcode\">Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the market braces itself for the Federal Reserve&#8217;s imminent announcement regarding its monetary policy, speculations are rife about the potential impact on Bitcoin and crypto. Based on Grayscale&#8217;s recent analysis by Zach Pandl, today&#8217;s announcement could be the critical juncture the Bitcoin and crypto community has been awaiting. In the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis in 2020, the Federal Reserve embarked on a path of significant monetary easing to reignite the US economy. Their initial stance was one of unwavering support: &#8220;The Federal Reserve committed to overstimulating the US economy\u2013with hopes to avoid the sluggish recovery that followed the 2008-2009 financial crisis.&#8221; This decision saw a bolstered Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in 2020. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Sudden Boost Amid Mt. Gox Rumors, But QCP Capital Targets $22,000 However, as Pandl points out, the tide seemed to turn in mid-2021 when the Federal Reserve had a revelation: &#8220;[The Fed] seemed to realize it was overdoing it.&#8221; What followed was a series of the most &#8220;largest and steepest funds rate increases in modern history.&#8221; As real interest rates rebounded, Bitcoin&#8217;s valuation, which had soared during the period of monetary easing, began to see a massive downturn. The Road Ahead For Bitcoin And Crypto Pandl&#8217;s analysis elucidates the heightened anticipation around the FOMC&#8217;s meeting. He notes, &#8220;We believe the FOMC is likely to keep rates on hold at tomorrow\u2019s meeting.&#8221; Notably, this is in line with broader market expectations. According to the FedWatch tool, 99% expect a pause by the Fed. Despite hints earlier in June 2023 about potential rate increments beyond the 5.25-5.50% range, the current economic indicators, such as &#8220;benign inflation data&#8221; and steady &#8220;oil prices,&#8221; could influence the committee&#8217;s decision, argues Pandl. Yet, as the report astutely mentions, it&#8217;s not just about the immediate policy decision: &#8220;For crypto, whether the Fed hikes one more time or not may be less important than the fact that the broader tightening cycle is coming to an end.&#8221; This perspective, when viewed in light of historical data, suggests a potential upliftment for digital assets. After all, &#8220;After the funds rate peaked in the last five tightening cycles, real interest rates declined and equity market performance generally improved.&#8221; Related Reading: Wyckoff Support Holds Strong: Bitcoin Bulls Eyeing $31,000 In Near-Term Rally Although the crypto ecosystem continues to evolve at a rapid pace with &#8220;new applications, enhancements to existing protocols, and wider adoption,&#8221; its valuations haven&#8217;t always mirrored these advancements. Over the last few years, as Pandl underscores, &#8220;valuations have been heavily influenced by the macroeconomics backdrop and swings in Fed monetary policy\u2013from ultra-easy policy in 2020 to steep rate increases more recently.&#8221; The potential conclusion of the Fed&#8217;s rate increases could signify a pivotal moment for Bitcoin and other digital assets. As we approach this juncture, the crypto market may find itself at a crossroads where &#8220;A possible end of the tightening process could remove a headwind to crypto valuations, and allow prices to more closely track the industry\u2019s improving fundamentals.&#8221; At press time, BTC traded at $27,099. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":571,"featured_media":552088,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,1119,1144,2007,89444],"class_list":["post-552087","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btcusd","tag-fed","tag-tightening-cycle"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Decoding The Fed: Bitcoin And Crypto Post-Tightening<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Based on Grayscale&#039;s recent analysis, today&#039;s announcement could be the critical juncture the Bitcoin and crypto community has been awaiting.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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Through his extensive work with uniquehot.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field. His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone. With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake\u2019s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage. Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control. For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality. As a journalist, Jake\u2019s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies. In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it\u2019s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake\u2019s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time. 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