{"id":611597,"date":"2024-06-05T13:33:25","date_gmt":"2024-06-05T13:33:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=611597"},"modified":"2024-06-11T06:59:14","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T06:59:14","slug":"bitcoin-volatility-reaches-historic-low","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-volatility-reaches-historic-low\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Volatility Reaches Historic Low: Calm Before A 500% Bullish Storm?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin price<\/a> is back trading above $70,000 after weeks of sideways price action. The recent boredom and sideways grind, however, isn’t necessarily a bad thing. In the past, such lulls in volatility have preceded the top cryptocurrency’s greatest rallies on record. Let’s take a look.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Historical Volatility Reaches Record Low<\/h2>\n

The term volatility often has a negative connotation surrounding it. For example, Oxford Languages defines volatility as the “liability to change rapidly and unpredictably, especially for the worse.” In financial markets, the term refers to how much and how fast price moves within a specific timeframe.<\/p>\n

To measure volatility, technical analysts use the historical volatility metric, which compares volatility across the entire existence of an asset’s price timeline. Using such a tool, analysts can compare and contrast past bouts of high or low volatility in an asset like Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Soars Past $71,000: Here\u2019s Why<\/a><\/div>\n

Turning this tool on in BTCUSD reveals that on the 2-week timeframe, the top cryptocurrency by market cap is coming off the lowest volatility phase in its entire existence. More importantly, however, is the fact that the last two times that BTCUSD was this boring, it led to an over 9,000% and over 2,000% rally. The most recent made Bitcoin a household name, rising from around $1,000 to nearly $20,000 at its peak in 2017.<\/p>\n

Now the signal is back, but what might this mean for the cryptocurrency market and holders who have waited through the recent sideways price action.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin historical volatility reaches record lows associated with the largest bullish moves.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Third Time Is A Charm: Can BTC Climb 200-500%?<\/h2>\n

Volatility is cyclical in nature. After periods of high volatility and explosive price action, the market moves into a lull where prices move painfully sideways. When the sideways boredom ends, it usually ends with a bang and a return to the explosive price action that was evident before the lull.<\/p>\n

Volatility can also be measured and even predicted using “implied volatility.” But the direction in which the volatility releases cannot be predicted with accuracy. Considering volatility is most often associated with negativity, there’s at least some probability that the low in volatility could be broken by an extreme dump in Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: The Half-Million Dollar Bitcoin: Predictions Point To Monumental Price Surge In 18 Months<\/a><\/div>\n

But the last two instances suggest otherwise, and the recent trend has been up. While BTCUSD likely won’t see another 9,000% rally nor a 2,000% rally like it did in 2013 and 2017, the first-ever cryptocurrency could do anywhere from a 200% to 500% surge.<\/p>\n

At 200% and a price of $70,000 per coin, Bitcoin could end up peaking this cycle at around $140,000. At a 500% move from current levels, Bitcoin could reach $350,000 per coin. Higher multiples are indeed possible, but not probable considering the law of diminishing returns.<\/p>\n

Tony Severino, CMT is the author of the CoinChartist (VIP) newsletter<\/a>. Sign up for free<\/a>. Follow @TonyTheBullBTC<\/a> & @coinchartist_io<\/a> on Twitter. Or join\u00a0the TonyTradesBTC Telegram<\/a> for daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice.<\/em><\/p>\n

Featured image from ChatGPT, Charts from TradingView.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin price is back trading above $70,000 after weeks of sideways price action. The recent boredom and sideways grind, however, isn’t necessarily a bad thing. In the past, such lulls in volatility have preceded the top cryptocurrency’s greatest rallies on record. Let’s take a look. Bitcoin Historical Volatility Reaches Record Low The term volatility often has a negative connotation surrounding it. For example, Oxford Languages defines volatility as the “liability to change rapidly and unpredictably, especially for the worse.” In financial markets, the term refers to how much and how fast price moves within a specific timeframe. To measure volatility, technical analysts use the historical volatility metric, which compares volatility across the entire existence of an asset’s price timeline. Using such a tool, analysts can compare and contrast past bouts of high or low volatility in an asset like Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Soars Past $71,000: Here\u2019s Why Turning this tool on in BTCUSD reveals that on the 2-week timeframe, the top cryptocurrency by market cap is coming off the lowest volatility phase in its entire existence. More importantly, however, is the fact that the last two times that BTCUSD was this boring, it led to an over 9,000% and over 2,000% rally. The most recent made Bitcoin a household name, rising from around $1,000 to nearly $20,000 at its peak in 2017. Now the signal is back, but what might this mean for the cryptocurrency market and holders who have waited through the recent sideways price action. Third Time Is A Charm: Can BTC Climb 200-500%? Volatility is cyclical in nature. After periods of high volatility and explosive price action, the market moves into a lull where prices move painfully sideways. When the sideways boredom ends, it usually ends with a bang and a return to the explosive price action that was evident before the lull. Volatility can also be measured and even predicted using “implied volatility.” But the direction in which the volatility releases cannot be predicted with accuracy. Considering volatility is most often associated with negativity, there’s at least some probability that the low in volatility could be broken by an extreme dump in Bitcoin. Related Reading: The Half-Million Dollar Bitcoin: Predictions Point To Monumental Price Surge In 18 Months But the last two instances suggest otherwise, and the recent trend has been up. While BTCUSD likely won’t see another 9,000% rally nor a 2,000% rally like it did in 2013 and 2017, the first-ever cryptocurrency could do anywhere from a 200% to 500% surge. At 200% and a price of $70,000 per coin, Bitcoin could end up peaking this cycle at around $140,000. At a 500% move from current levels, Bitcoin could reach $350,000 per coin. Higher multiples are indeed possible, but not probable considering the law of diminishing returns. Tony Severino, CMT is the author of the CoinChartist (VIP) newsletter. Sign up for free. Follow @TonyTheBullBTC & @coinchartist_io on Twitter. Or join\u00a0the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice. Featured image from ChatGPT, Charts from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":517,"featured_media":611607,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,1119,1144,82859,78790,6664,4524,76835],"class_list":["post-611597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btcusd","tag-btcusdc","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-xbt","tag-xbtusd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Volatility Reaches Historic Low: Calm Before A 500% Bullish Storm?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin price is back trading above $70,000 after weeks of sideways price action. 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The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony\u2019s expertise to guide their trading strategies. Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies. Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders. His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics. Tony\u2019s nickname, \"The Bull,\" aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice. In summary, Tony \"The Bull\" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.","sameAs":["https:\/\/coinchartist.io\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/coinchartist_io\/","https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/tonythebullBTC","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@coinchartist_io"],"url":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/author\/tonymspilotro\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Bitcoin Volatility Reaches Historic Low: Calm Before A 500% Bullish Storm?","url":"http:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-volatility-reaches-historic-low\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin-volatility-reaches-historic-low\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-05-at-9.31.13\u202fAM.png?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-05-at-9.31.13\u202fAM.png?fit=3750%2C2140"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Tony \"El Toro\" Severino"}],"creator":["Tony \"El Toro\" Severino"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","btc","btcusd","btcusdc","btcusdt","crypto","xbt","xbtusd"],"dateCreated":"2024-06-05T13:33:25Z","datePublished":"2024-06-05T13:33:25Z","dateModified":"2024-06-11T06:59:14Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Volatility Reaches Historic Low: Calm Before A 500% Bullish Storm?\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-volatility-reaches-historic-low\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-volatility-reaches-historic-low\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/06\\\/Screenshot-2024-06-05-at-9.31.13\\u202fAM.png?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/06\\\/Screenshot-2024-06-05-at-9.31.13\\u202fAM.png?fit=3750%2C2140\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Tony \\\"El Toro\\\" Severino\"}],\"creator\":[\"Tony \\\"El Toro\\\" Severino\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/uniquehot.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"btc\",\"btcusd\",\"btcusdc\",\"btcusdt\",\"crypto\",\"xbt\",\"xbtusd\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2024-06-05T13:33:25Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-06-05T13:33:25Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-11T06:59:14Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/uniquehot.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Screenshot-2024-06-05-at-9.31.13\u202fAM.png?fit=3750%2C2140","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/611597"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/517"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=611597"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/611597\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/611607"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=611597"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=611597"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=611597"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}