{"id":639641,"date":"2025-09-04T07:00:52","date_gmt":"2025-09-04T07:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=639641"},"modified":"2025-09-03T17:11:36","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T17:11:36","slug":"will-bitcoin-repeat-history-analyst-sees-this-2019-pattern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/bitcoin-news\/will-bitcoin-repeat-history-analyst-sees-this-2019-pattern\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Bitcoin Repeat History? Analyst Sees This 2019 Pattern In Current Market"},"content":{"rendered":"

Following its renewed peak above $73,000 back in March, Bitcoin has been experiencing a prolonged period of price stagnation ever since, leaving many investors wondering about the potential for future movements.<\/p>\n

According to a recent analysis<\/a> by a CryptoQuant analyst under the pseudonym \u2018Avocado,\u2019 this stagnation may bear a resemblance to a similar pattern observed in 2019.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin\u2019s Recovery Rally: Breaking Through This Level Is Key To Bullish Momentum \u2013 Analyst<\/a><\/div>\n

Why Is Bitcoin Price Still Below $60,000?<\/h2>\n

In the report uploaded on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, the analyst suggests that the lack of volatility in Bitcoin\u2019s price is largely due to the increased prevalence<\/a> of over-the-counter (OTC) trading compared to exchange-based trading, which has reduced the frequency and intensity of price fluctuations<\/a>.<\/p>\n

This conclusion was made after the analyst assessed one of Bitcoin’s key metrics\u2014lifespan of UTXOs (Unspent Transaction Outputs)\u2014which is used to analyze investor behavior.<\/p>\n

By examining UTXOs held for less than six months, the analyst classifies these holders as new investors and compares their behavior to similar periods in previous market cycles<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The data reveals a small peak in UTXOs under six months, which closely mirrors a structure seen in 2019. These new investors likely entered the market around March of this year when Bitcoin\u2019s price peaked, according to the analyst.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin UTXO metric. | Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

However, as the price has remained stagnant, many of these investors may have exited the market due to losses, while others have transitioned into the six-month-and-above holding category, the analyst added.<\/p>\n

The 2019 Pattern And What It Signals For Current Market<\/h2>\n

The analyst, Avocado, further explained that this similar pattern, which was also observed in 2019, occurred around the time of the halving event, which eventually led to a new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

However, it took approximately 490 days for Bitcoin to reach this ATH, a timeline that was also influenced by the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. With Bitcoin\u2019s price stuck in a large range for more than six months, the current situation raises questions about the potential for a similar outcome<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Is Bitcoin\u2019s Rally Over? Top Analysts Predict Imminent Price Corrections<\/a><\/div>\n

The analyst remains confident in the long-term upward trend<\/a> of Bitcoin but advises caution in the short term. Avocado noted:<\/p>\n

Currently, Bitcoin\u2019s price has been stuck in a large range for more than six months, with no clear trigger for a breakout. While I have no doubt about the long-term upward trend, in the short term, I believe it\u2019s wise to temper expectations and closely monitor the market. Historically, the influx of capital from new investors has been a critical condition for Bitcoin\u2019s price increases.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\"Bitcoin
BTC price is moving sideways on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC\/USDT on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Following its renewed peak above $73,000 back in March, Bitcoin has been experiencing a prolonged period of price stagnation ever since, leaving many investors wondering about the potential for future movements. According to a recent analysis by a CryptoQuant analyst under the pseudonym \u2018Avocado,\u2019 this stagnation may bear a resemblance to a similar pattern observed in 2019. Related Reading: Bitcoin\u2019s Recovery Rally: Breaking Through This Level Is Key To Bullish Momentum \u2013 Analyst Why Is Bitcoin Price Still Below $60,000? In the report uploaded on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, the analyst suggests that the lack of volatility in Bitcoin\u2019s price is largely due to the increased prevalence of over-the-counter (OTC) trading compared to exchange-based trading, which has reduced the frequency and intensity of price fluctuations. This conclusion was made after the analyst assessed one of Bitcoin’s key metrics\u2014lifespan of UTXOs (Unspent Transaction Outputs)\u2014which is used to analyze investor behavior. By examining UTXOs held for less than six months, the analyst classifies these holders as new investors and compares their behavior to similar periods in previous market cycles. The data reveals a small peak in UTXOs under six months, which closely mirrors a structure seen in 2019. These new investors likely entered the market around March of this year when Bitcoin\u2019s price peaked, according to the analyst. However, as the price has remained stagnant, many of these investors may have exited the market due to losses, while others have transitioned into the six-month-and-above holding category, the analyst added. The 2019 Pattern And What It Signals For Current Market The analyst, Avocado, further explained that this similar pattern, which was also observed in 2019, occurred around the time of the halving event, which eventually led to a new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin. However, it took approximately 490 days for Bitcoin to reach this ATH, a timeline that was also influenced by the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. With Bitcoin\u2019s price stuck in a large range for more than six months, the current situation raises questions about the potential for a similar outcome. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin\u2019s Rally Over? Top Analysts Predict Imminent Price Corrections The analyst remains confident in the long-term upward trend of Bitcoin but advises caution in the short term. Avocado noted: Currently, Bitcoin\u2019s price has been stuck in a large range for more than six months, with no clear trigger for a breakout. While I have no doubt about the long-term upward trend, in the short term, I believe it\u2019s wise to temper expectations and closely monitor the market. Historically, the influx of capital from new investors has been a critical condition for Bitcoin\u2019s price increases. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":580,"featured_media":639651,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88240],"tags":[428,441,629,6848,1119,78790,6664,10923,83531],"class_list":["post-639641","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analysis","tag-bitcoin-market","tag-bitcoin-price-prediction","tag-btc","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-cryptoquant"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWill Bitcoin Repeat History? 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A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others. Edyme\u2019s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis. Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events\u2014like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ\u2019s arrest\u2014has honed his keen sense of market dynamics. When he isn\u2019t crafting engaging crypto content, you\u2019ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he\u2019s catching some Z\u2019s or scrolling through Elon Musk\u2019s very own X platform\u2014(oops, another screen activity, my bad\u2026) Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters\u2014(don\u2019t judge, that\u2019s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or \u201ckaizen,\u201d striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, \u201cGod knows best\u201d and \u201cEverything is still on track,\u201d reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life. In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He\u2019s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck\u2014unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet\u2014bold. He\u2019s the guy who\u2019d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point\u2014(uhhh\u2026). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent\u2014okay, maybe that\u2019s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps. Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That\u2019s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF\u2019s \u201cClouds\u201d that resonate deeply with him: \u201cWhat you think's probably unfeasible, I've done already a hundredfold.\u201d PS\u2014Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He\u2019s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/0xEdyme"],"url":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/author\/samueledymeabayomi\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Will Bitcoin Repeat History? 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