{"id":644166,"date":"2024-09-24T11:00:06","date_gmt":"2024-09-24T11:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=644166"},"modified":"2024-09-24T05:01:56","modified_gmt":"2024-09-24T05:01:56","slug":"analyst-warns-of-short-squeeze-as-bitcoin-futures-market-heats-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/bitcoin-news\/analyst-warns-of-short-squeeze-as-bitcoin-futures-market-heats-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst Warns Of Short Squeeze as Bitcoin Futures Market Heats Up"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Bitcoin futures market is seeing a rise in leverage, which may signal an impending short squeeze that could lead to a bullish rally, according to a recent report<\/a> by a CryptoQuant analyst, known as Percival.<\/p>\n

Percival insights shared earlier today on the QuickTake platform detailed the current state of Bitcoin leverage and the potential impact it could have on Bitcoin’s price trajectory<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Surge: Binance Buyers Take Charge As Coinbase Premium Falls<\/a><\/div>\n

Bitcoin Open Interest And Leverage Surge Amid Volatility<\/h2>\n

According to Percival, the futures market consists of two major groups: institutional traders<\/a> on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)\u00a0and retail or native cryptocurrency traders.<\/p>\n

Institutional traders typically hedge their positions and are less prone to liquidations, while retail traders often face higher liquidation risks, particularly during periods of increased market volatility<\/a>. These dynamics are particularly relevant now, as leverage in the futures market has surged over the past two weeks.<\/p>\n

Percival noted that open Interest in Bitcoin futures has now grown by $6 billion, reaching a total of $28.3 billion, just shy of the all-time high of $31 billion recorded in July.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin CME futures open interest. | Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This increase in leverage is tied to recent market movements, especially around the volatility caused by the recent US Federal Reserve\u2019s interest rate decisions.<\/p>\n

Despite this uptick, institutional traders are seen to hold onto their positions confidently, anticipating further volatility but are less exposed to liquidation risks than retail traders.<\/p>\n

In addition, funding rates for Bitcoin Future contracts indicate that investors holding long positions currently receive around $2 million daily. This suggests that demand for long positions remains strong, as investors are willing to pay to maintain these positions.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin funding rates on all exchanges. | Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

However, Percival cautions that while this is not an “overly excessive amount”, sudden price corrections could quickly wipe out those over-leveraged traders attempting to capitalize on these market movements<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Short Liquidations Hint At Possible Short Squeeze<\/h2>\n

A notable observation in the report was the significant increase in short liquidations. Percival explained that short liquidations have risen by approximately $493 million, which could be a precursor to a “short squeeze.”<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin short and long liquidations. | Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

A short squeeze occurs when short positions are forced to close due to rising prices, which can cause further upward pressure on the asset\u2019s price\u2014in this case, Bitcoin’s.<\/p>\n

Percival speculated that this surge in short liquidations could rapidly recover Bitcoin\u2019s price following any “sharp corrections.”<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin Approaches $65,000: Is Now The Perfect Time To Buy?<\/a><\/div>\n

The liquidation of short positions would give the market the momentum needed for Bitcoin to bounce back and potentially trigger a more significant rally<\/a>. While volatility is expected in the short term, the overall outlook appears to lean towards a bullish trend if this short squeeze scenario continues.<\/p>\n

\"BTC
BTC price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC\/USDT on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Bitcoin futures market is seeing a rise in leverage, which may signal an impending short squeeze that could lead to a bullish rally, according to a recent report by a CryptoQuant analyst, known as Percival. Percival insights shared earlier today on the QuickTake platform detailed the current state of Bitcoin leverage and the potential impact it could have on Bitcoin’s price trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Surge: Binance Buyers Take Charge As Coinbase Premium Falls Bitcoin Open Interest And Leverage Surge Amid Volatility According to Percival, the futures market consists of two major groups: institutional traders on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)\u00a0and retail or native cryptocurrency traders. Institutional traders typically hedge their positions and are less prone to liquidations, while retail traders often face higher liquidation risks, particularly during periods of increased market volatility. These dynamics are particularly relevant now, as leverage in the futures market has surged over the past two weeks. Percival noted that open Interest in Bitcoin futures has now grown by $6 billion, reaching a total of $28.3 billion, just shy of the all-time high of $31 billion recorded in July. This increase in leverage is tied to recent market movements, especially around the volatility caused by the recent US Federal Reserve\u2019s interest rate decisions. Despite this uptick, institutional traders are seen to hold onto their positions confidently, anticipating further volatility but are less exposed to liquidation risks than retail traders. In addition, funding rates for Bitcoin Future contracts indicate that investors holding long positions currently receive around $2 million daily. This suggests that demand for long positions remains strong, as investors are willing to pay to maintain these positions. However, Percival cautions that while this is not an “overly excessive amount”, sudden price corrections could quickly wipe out those over-leveraged traders attempting to capitalize on these market movements. Short Liquidations Hint At Possible Short Squeeze A notable observation in the report was the significant increase in short liquidations. Percival explained that short liquidations have risen by approximately $493 million, which could be a precursor to a “short squeeze.” A short squeeze occurs when short positions are forced to close due to rising prices, which can cause further upward pressure on the asset\u2019s price\u2014in this case, Bitcoin’s. Percival speculated that this surge in short liquidations could rapidly recover Bitcoin\u2019s price following any “sharp corrections.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Approaches $65,000: Is Now The Perfect Time To Buy? The liquidation of short positions would give the market the momentum needed for Bitcoin to bounce back and potentially trigger a more significant rally. While volatility is expected in the short term, the overall outlook appears to lean towards a bullish trend if this short squeeze scenario continues. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":580,"featured_media":644174,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88240],"tags":[428,441,86063,629,1119,78790,6664,10923,83531],"class_list":["post-644166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analysis","tag-bitcoin-futures-market","tag-bitcoin-market","tag-btc","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-cryptoquant"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAnalyst Warns Of Short Squeeze As Bitcoin Futures Market Heats Up<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Bitcoin futures market is seeing a rise in leverage, which may signal an impending short squeeze that could lead to a bullish rally...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others. Edyme\u2019s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis. Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events\u2014like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ\u2019s arrest\u2014has honed his keen sense of market dynamics. When he isn\u2019t crafting engaging crypto content, you\u2019ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he\u2019s catching some Z\u2019s or scrolling through Elon Musk\u2019s very own X platform\u2014(oops, another screen activity, my bad\u2026) Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters\u2014(don\u2019t judge, that\u2019s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or \u201ckaizen,\u201d striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, \u201cGod knows best\u201d and \u201cEverything is still on track,\u201d reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life. In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He\u2019s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck\u2014unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet\u2014bold. He\u2019s the guy who\u2019d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point\u2014(uhhh\u2026). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent\u2014okay, maybe that\u2019s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps. Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That\u2019s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF\u2019s \u201cClouds\u201d that resonate deeply with him: \u201cWhat you think's probably unfeasible, I've done already a hundredfold.\u201d PS\u2014Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He\u2019s 100% Him-alayan. 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