{"id":651508,"date":"2024-11-04T21:00:38","date_gmt":"2024-11-04T21:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/?p=651508"},"modified":"2024-11-04T12:11:59","modified_gmt":"2024-11-04T12:11:59","slug":"bitcoin-price-75000-trump-harris-race-tightens-qcp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniquehot.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-price-75000-trump-harris-race-tightens-qcp\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Poised For $75,000 As Trump-Harris Race Tightens: QCP"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Bitcoin price has posted five consecutive red daily candles since it stopped just short of its all-time high at $73,620 last Tuesday. As a result, the BTC price has fallen by around 7%. This decline is evident on the weekly chart, which shows a major bearish weekly candle – a gravestone doji.<\/p>\n

Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Aksel Kibar noted<\/a> via X, \u201cBTCUSD weekly candle can look similar to GOLD,\u201d and explained that it indicates a reversal is on the horizon. However, he added, \u201cIt is not dependable as an individual candle. Best to combine it with a following weak candle as a confirmation of trend reversal. […] The market narrative is that the bulls attempt to push to new highs over the session but the bears push the price action to near the open by the session close.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin To Hit $75,000 By End Of November?<\/h2>\n

Despite this, Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital remains bullish in its latest investor note<\/a>, highlighting significant shifts in both political prediction markets and the BTC derivatives market.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Spot ETFs Fail To Ignite Bitcoin Growth \u2013 Analyst<\/a><\/div>\n

According to QCP Capital, the odds on the decentralized prediction market Polymarket have “moved closer to actual poll estimates,” with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump<\/a> “locked in a tight race.” While Polymarket<\/a> still favors Trump at 55%, this marks a decrease from 66% a week ago, indicating a narrowing margin that aligns more closely with mainstream polling data.<\/p>\n

The firm also noted a cautious sentiment prevailing in the cryptocurrency market. The “sideways price action over the weekend” and a decrease in leveraged perpetual futures positioning\u2014from $30 billion to $26 billion across exchanges\u2014suggest that traders are adopting a wait-and-see approach. This pullback may be due to uncertainties surrounding macroeconomic factors or the upcoming election.<\/p>\n

Despite the current market hesitancy, QCP Capital sees potential for significant upward movement in Bitcoin’s price. The firm questioned whether this is “the calm before a break from the multi-month range and push toward all-time highs.” Supporting this outlook, QCP observed an increase in topside positioning with substantial buying of end-November $75,000 call options since last Friday. This surge in call options at that strike price suggests that traders are positioning for a substantial rally by the end of November.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: How To Trade Bitcoin During The US Election, Expert Reveals<\/a><\/div>\n

Additionally, the firm highlighted increased activity in options tied to the election date. “Election-date options positions are also rising,” QCP noted, with Friday implied volatility exceeding 87%, even as realized volatility remains at 40%. The elevated implied volatility indicates that options traders are anticipating significant price swings around the election period.<\/p>\n

Looking ahead, QCP Capital expects Bitcoin’s spot price to remain range-bound until the US election<\/a> results provide more clarity. The firm stated that they “expect spot to chop around this range until we get more clarity on the election results this week,” adding that “a Trump win is likely to cause a knee-jerk reaction higher, and vice versa if Kamala wins.”<\/p>\n

At press time, BTC traded at $68,852.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
BTC price, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Bitcoin price has posted five consecutive red daily candles since it stopped just short of its all-time high at $73,620 last Tuesday. As a result, the BTC price has fallen by around 7%. This decline is evident on the weekly chart, which shows a major bearish weekly candle – a gravestone doji. Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Aksel Kibar noted via X, \u201cBTCUSD weekly candle can look similar to GOLD,\u201d and explained that it indicates a reversal is on the horizon. However, he added, \u201cIt is not dependable as an individual candle. Best to combine it with a following weak candle as a confirmation of trend reversal. […] The market narrative is that the bulls attempt to push to new highs over the session but the bears push the price action to near the open by the session close. Bitcoin To Hit $75,000 By End Of November? Despite this, Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital remains bullish in its latest investor note, highlighting significant shifts in both political prediction markets and the BTC derivatives market. Related Reading: Spot ETFs Fail To Ignite Bitcoin Growth \u2013 Analyst According to QCP Capital, the odds on the decentralized prediction market Polymarket have “moved closer to actual poll estimates,” with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump “locked in a tight race.” While Polymarket still favors Trump at 55%, this marks a decrease from 66% a week ago, indicating a narrowing margin that aligns more closely with mainstream polling data. The firm also noted a cautious sentiment prevailing in the cryptocurrency market. The “sideways price action over the weekend” and a decrease in leveraged perpetual futures positioning\u2014from $30 billion to $26 billion across exchanges\u2014suggest that traders are adopting a wait-and-see approach. This pullback may be due to uncertainties surrounding macroeconomic factors or the upcoming election. Despite the current market hesitancy, QCP Capital sees potential for significant upward movement in Bitcoin’s price. The firm questioned whether this is “the calm before a break from the multi-month range and push toward all-time highs.” Supporting this outlook, QCP observed an increase in topside positioning with substantial buying of end-November $75,000 call options since last Friday. This surge in call options at that strike price suggests that traders are positioning for a substantial rally by the end of November. Related Reading: How To Trade Bitcoin During The US Election, Expert Reveals Additionally, the firm highlighted increased activity in options tied to the election date. “Election-date options positions are also rising,” QCP noted, with Friday implied volatility exceeding 87%, even as realized volatility remains at 40%. The elevated implied volatility indicates that options traders are anticipating significant price swings around the election period. Looking ahead, QCP Capital expects Bitcoin’s spot price to remain range-bound until the US election results provide more clarity. The firm stated that they “expect spot to chop around this range until we get more clarity on the election results this week,” adding that “a Trump win is likely to cause a knee-jerk reaction higher, and vice versa if Kamala wins.” At press time, BTC traded at $68,852. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":571,"featured_media":651515,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651],"tags":[428,656,679,93324,1119,1122,8480,92697],"class_list":["post-651508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-bitcoin-us-election","tag-btc","tag-btc-price","tag-donald-trump","tag-kamala-harris"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Poised For $75,000 As Trump-Harris Race Tightens: QCP<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"QCP Capital remains bullish in its latest investor note, highlighting significant shifts in prediction markets and BTC derivatives.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control. For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality. As a journalist, Jake\u2019s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies. In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it\u2019s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake\u2019s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time. 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